Betting on the direct outcome of a football or sporting event is one of the most wagered betting markets in the world. After betting on the development of a game, different variations of the goalscorer bet are the most popular type of wager in the betting market. Punters prefer making wagers on goalscorers because it can be easier to predict when, whom, or which team will achieve a goal in a soccer game. For punters making goalscorer bets, understanding the types of goalscorer bets, the features of such wagers, and how to make a profit on such wagers help punters make more consistent goalscorer wagers.
What Is a Goalscorer Bet?
A goalscorer bet is a wager placed on the player who is most likely or expected to score a goal. A punter doesn’t need to predict all the players that will achieve or score. They need to predict if a single selected player will score a goal in a given fixture or not. A punter places a wager on a particular player to score in a competitive match such as a Cup, League, or trophy game. For example, a punter can place a wager on Eden Hazard or Cristiano Ronaldo to score within the stipulated 90 minutes of play. If neither player scores, the punter loses the bet. However, if either player scores, then the punter wins the wager. Players with a high probability of scoring are already into the goalscorer bet, which means a punter will get a lesser payout for making a wager on Mbappe versus a higher payout if a defender or defender of the keeper scores.
Features Of Goalscorer Bets
Some of the critical features of goalscorer wagers include players’ form, own goals, chances created and converted, and bets on high goal-scoring games.
1. Consider The Player Form
It’s essential to consider each team and player’s form before making a goalscorer wager. A player’s paper directly contributes to a player’s performance in matches. Consider a player that’s scored in 7 out of the last ten games at home. Based on form, a punter can place a wager on that player scoring in the next game because the player is in good shape. A punter must also consider the form and play of the team. A player in good condition can still underperform if the entire team doesn’t directly contribute on the pitch and during virtual spaces. However, even if the player wagered on loses the game, a punter can still win the wager as long as the player bet on scores a consolation goal for the losing side.
2. Own Goals
They attribute their own goals to a player scoring in their net rather than the opponent’s net. Most own objectives tend to be mistakes that end up in unlucky deflections. If it is their own goal, then even the player on the opposing team that started the play doesn’t get credit. In such cases, punters can quickly lose their wager unless they’ve wagered explicitly on a player scoring their own goal. For example, a punter places a wager on Pulisic to score a goal for Chelsea. However, if Pulisic scores his goal in Chelsea’s net, the punter will not win the bet unless Pulisic scores in the opposite net.
3. Chances Created And Converted
Chances created and converted are two essential metrics punters need to evaluate when selecting a player to place a goalscorer wager. The possibilities created are the number of opportunities that can directly lead to a goal and indicates how often a team creates scoring opportunities. The more options a team makes, the higher likelihood a goalscorer wager is profitable. Chances converted are those number of chances created that a team capitalizes on and alters the play into a goal. A higher conversion rate for a specific player means that the player converts most chances created for them and can be profitable.
4. High Goal-scoring Games
High goal-scoring games give punters the best chance to win a goal-scoring bet. If a match ends in 3-3 or 4-4, and no player scores two goals, then the game will have 6 to 8 different goalscorers, making it easier for a punter who placed a bet on the goalscorer to win a wager.
If a game is likely to end with no goals or very few goals, then it can be hard to predict which players could score that goal. Extremely defensive teams (such as Atletico Madrid and Juventus) contesting against each other result in fewer goals. On the other hand, attacking teams (such as Manchester City or Manchester United) against weaker teams result in many plans and can be profitable goalscorer bets.