Football is, without a doubt, an exciting game. It is enjoyable to watch, and you’re always sure to have a good time following any match. It is more exciting when you have money riding on a particular outcome.
A common theme with many sports bettors these days is using “trends” to determine which way their wager should lean in a game.
Does this work?
Is there any merit to employing this strategy?
If there is, how do you get on the best path to using trends to improve your winnings?
The operating principle behind betting trends is simple, at least in theory. It involves assessing and analyzing data from previous events and using them to predict the outcome of a match with a reasonable level of certainty.
It sounds legit and quite logical, so why do most bettors find it difficult if not impossible to use betting trends accurately in sports betting?
The answer to this is that bettors cannot correctly identify these trends in the first place; they think that they can.
Here’s what to consider with betting trends.
Assume that over the past five seasons, Chelsea has won 80% of its games at home. Is this a trend? Yes.
Are you likely to win a wager if you follow this guide for their next game at home? Quite possible, yes. Is this trend going to fetch you a sizable sum? No.
Why? Because it is a noticeable trend.
Your bookmaker is likely to be aware of it and compensate for it in the odds they offer as well.
When looking for the best and most profitable trends to use for your betting in Football, you need to find trends that aren’t so overt, as these are the ones that offer that big payout. While this is challenging to do, it is not impossible.
All you need to look for is,
One – a pattern that has occurred over a long time under specific circumstances, and
Two – a large number of these instances to help you confirm that the pattern you’re following is set and not just a random fluke.
Once you have this, you then need to answer two critical questions.
The first being, what is the exact cause of the pattern you’re observing?
Second, how does the pattern you see factor into the bet you want to place?
Once you have your answer for this, you can better determine whether you have a genuine trend on your hands or something transient.
It is worth mentioning that it isn’t ideal for placing your bets based on trends alone, even if you manage to find a sure one that nobody knows.
Betting trends are best used to complement your decision-making. You’re likely to see better results that way.
Ultimately, there’s profit to be had by following even evident trends, so in the end, it ultimately depends on your discretion!
